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Flooding on the Mighty Mo: Lessons Re-learned
December 30, 2011 | Dams & Dam Removal, Floods & Floodplains, Global Warming, Restoring Rivers
Shana Udvardy
Director, Flood Management Policy
While the recent review by an independent panel (Review of the Regulation of the Missouri River Mainstem Reservoir System During the Flood of 2011) on how the Corps of Engineers handled the flooding along the Mighty Missouri River provides a good overview of the facts, it does not provide much in the way of new information or hard hitting recommendations to the Corps on how they should manage the system differently.
Here are a few highlights of the panels’ findings and recommendations:
- The Corps operated the system for flood control and not for endangered species or for other environmental purposes as was rumored by some that the Corps had done this and was a reason for the increased flood risk.
- No forecasts accurately accounted for the extreme runoff volume due to the record rainfall that fell on Montana, North and South Dakotas in May and June.
- Given the number of extreme events in last few decades, the Corps must base their planning on data from the entire historical record (since 1898) and they must operate the system with much greater flexibility to adapt to climatic extremes – this necessitates improving the Master Manual to provide guidance on how to handle extreme events and more studies to modernize data collection and forecasting.
- The Corps could have done a better job at communicating the conditions and plans for high releases and communicating the residual risk of dams as many people thought the dams made them safe when they did not.
The panels’ report however is a reminder of a few lessons that we quickly forget after flooding subsides and that we are forced to re-learn after major flooding events. These lessons include:
- A river needs room to roam and investing in the protection and restoration of our “natural defenses” our rivers, wetlands, floodplains, upland and coastal areas provide multiple benefits including natural and sustainable flood storage and conveyance;
- When it comes to managing our water resources, the past should not be the sole guide for the future. While levees, dams, and other structures will continue to play a role in flood management, they must be the last line of defense, not the only one. The nation continues to rely on flood “control” structures like dams and levees that can and do fail ultimately making flooding worse, perpetuate a costly flood-damage-repair cycle shouldered by taxpayers, and that put people in harm’s way many of whom believe they are safe when they are not;
- We know that flooding is becoming more frequent and more severe and flood losses continue to increase. We must be prepared to address climate extremes and adjust our water management policies as if it is the new norm. This requires that the nation invests in the modernization of data collection, forecasting, and flexible planning; and
- Rivers must be managed as entire systems based on the most scientific and up to date information, not by individual decisions or by individual interests. Unfortunately, in recent years opponents to sound river basin management for the Missouri River who seek to maintain the status quo which favors navigation stripped funding for the Missouri River Authorized Purposes Study or “MRAPS” the very study that would ensure public involvement and bring Missouri River management into the 21st century.
As the Missouri River Basin recovers from the 2011 floods, a priority must be placed on keeping people safe in 2012 while levees are repaired and the area recovers.
In 2012 we will also look forward to a second awaited report on the Missouri River flooding by the government watchdog agency – the Governmental Accountability Office (GAO) – that came at the formal request of a group of Senators on December 7, 2011. [PDF]
We are hopeful that the GAO report will provide harder hitting recommendations to Congress on how to manage flood risk on the Missouri River in a way that safeguards communities and the rivers they depend upon.
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Comments List
Submitted by Michael Melius at: January 4, 2012
Lowering the pools is the least expensive, least intrusive way to reduce flood risk on the MR. It involves no new construction or design, just adjustments to the new pool levels. Such as, water conservation will have to become a higher priority, and since navigation wastes the most water, it will have to be given lower service levels. "50 is the new 40". (That's MAF, indicating pool levels at which nav. service is severly reduced.) Lowering pools--the next best thing to decommissioning dams. Of course, if Americans choose not to lower the pools, their choices then run to: higher spring releases; higher, much higher levees below the dams, basically building and maintaining a huge trench from Gavins Point through St. Louis; and widening the river/moving out of the floodplain below the dams. Because the next flood could be even bigger--imagine 1993 conditions combined with 2011. My summary review of 2011 is this: Montana Floods Nebraska--This Is News?
Submitted by Michael Melius at: January 4, 2012
Here is a letter I wrote to S. Dakota's Gov. Daugaard on Dec. 28. I'm trying to get a conversation started on the ramifications of lowering pools on the upper Missouri River--and, I should add, the consequences for not doing so. I've been involved in river politics for over 20 years. As an environmentalist, lowering the pools is a no-brainer. We'll get more of the original channel back, on average--think of the reach below Garrison Dam, extending farther into the former Oahe Reservoir. As a test, think back to 1944, the year the System was authorized by Congress. If you could go back and testify against the dams and reservoirs, would you advocate for pools as high or as low as possible? Finally, once you examine the data and see how detrimental high pools and consequent high releases are for terns and plovers, you begin to see how beneficial lowering pools might be for the birds' recovery. M. Melius, Hermosa, SD December 28, 2011 Governor Dennis Daugaard 500 East Capitol Pierre, SD 57501 Dear Governor Daugaard: I am writing today to ask you to please consider convening a public meeting to discuss the ramifications of lowering the pools in the Missouri River (MR) reservoirs. The idea of lowering the pools is not new; the 55 MAF alternative (representing the annual March 1 target for water level) was modeled and seriously considered during the Corps of Engineers' EIS process for its Master Manual Revision over ten years ago. In the wake of this year's flooding, the idea has been raised seriously again: ~There is federal legislation calling explicitly for more flood storage capacity (H.R. 2942, S. 1795). South Dakota's representative is a co-sponsor on the House side. (Source: Thomas.gov website) ~The Corps has initiated a technical analysis to determine how much more reservoir space might be allocated for flood control. (Corps' press release, 11/4/11) ~The recently released report of the MR Independent Review Panel recommends "a review of System storage allocations for floods like 2011 and possible modification of Master Manual procedures to take into account different storage amounts for dry and wet periods and to adjust to varying climatic extremes." (Report at page 83) Apparently, after this year's flooding, people are more open to the idea of lowering the pools. Perhaps the irony of enduring flooding immediately below huge flood-control dams, as we saw in the Pierre area, has helped people focus on this possibility. It is a common-sense solution, one that almost anyone can grasp at its simplest: to reduce flood risk, leave more room at the top of the pools for high run-off events. But of course the idea isn't simple in its application. Lower pools means less water for other purposes such as hydropower, public water supplies and fisheries/recreation. I believe the public deserves an open and intelligent discussion of these consequences. At this date, perhaps few scientists, engineers, policy makers and business interests in the MR basin have much information specific to this subject, but that's all the more reason to begin planning a public forum now, knowing it will take time for people to gather data and prepare arguments, materials and such. Pierre is a logical place to hold such a forum. It is central on the river. Being in the midst of the dam system, local people are affected by dam management both for flood control and water storage, the two great conflicting purposes of the system. There is plenty of expertise in the area: engineers with the Corps, fisheries and other biologists, and representatives of affected businesses like recreation. With participation from federal, tribal, state and local representatives throughout the MR basin, such a meeting could go a long ways towards opening up the public discussion about lowering pools on the river, while heading off misunderstandings and friction among interest groups. March 1st would be a good date to aim for, that being the target date the Corps uses to determine the amount of flood zone storage available. That might be too soon to prepare for, but I do think we shouldn’t wait too long to get leaders and citizens discussing this option in a serious, public way. My own interest in this is as a lifelong South Dakotan, just old enough to remember the river west of Gettysburg before it was dammed. I’ve been to Oahe Reservoir and other sites on the river many times over the years to fish, camp, and study birds and other wildlife. I became involved in the Corps’ Master Manual Revision process early on, in 1990. Over time, the survival of the two threatened and endangered birds on the river, the least tern and piping plover, became a primary concern for me. By 1999, I was advocating for lower pools, since it appeared from the Corps' published data on the birds that high pools and the associated high releases for flood zone evacuation were a significant yet avoidable threat to the birds' recovery. Apparently what’s good for these birds, lowering the pools, is also good for flood control. In my opinion, lowering the pools alone would be an unfair sacrifice for citizens of the upper river. The losses that will result from lower pools could be lessened if the Corps’ management were also adjusted to make water conservation more of a priority during droughts. That is, dam releases would need to be more conservative, which would mean less support for navigation on the lower river, e.g., lower flows over a shorter season. In this way, the sacrifices would be borne fairly throughout the basin—slightly lower pools on the upper river out of respect for wet years, slightly lower flows below the dams in a drought. That’s just one opinion on the future of the Missouri River. With lowering the pools now a serious option for management of the dams, I hope you will use the expertise in your administration and other state offices to host an appropriate public forum to educate the public about the ramifications of this option. Sincerely yours, Michael Melius 24644 Prairie View Road Hermosa, SD 57744 605.255.4766